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Tebow's Fantasy Reflection larger than Reality - Fantasy Football Tips | Fantasy Football Advice | Fantasy Football Draft and Weekly Pickups Inside the Redzone

Tebow’s Fantasy Reflection larger than Reality

Nick Caron October 29, 2011 4


Tim Tebow | all hype | great fantasy qb

Tim Tebow's great running ability could make him an elite fantasy quarterback. (Photo by Rick Burtzel)


Tebow’s Growing Pains on the Field

Anyone who flipped on SportsCenter for more than 30-seconds this past week can recite the end of the Denver at Miami game in great detail.
Second-year quarterback Tim Tebow led his team, which had not scored a single point in the first 55-minutes of the game, to a dramatic overtime victory utilizing an array of passes, runs and of course some of that seemingly never-ending Tebow magic.
The story was really nothing new. The former Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback has made a name for himself as being one of the most “clutch” football players we have seen at any level.
Though many of the reports were positive, Tebow also took some serious heat from members of the media this week who criticized his god-awful passing performance against the Dolphins. Some added that there is no way that the Broncos would have even been within striking distance of winning that game if they were playing a team that actually had any semblance of an offense.
And quite frankly, those critics were right. Tim Tebow was horrendous. He looked completely uncomfortable throwing the ball and repeatedly missed wide open targets down the field on what should have been routine throws for NFL quarterbacks.
But for fantasy football owners, it simply didn’t matter. At the end of the day, Tebow’s inefficiency as an actual NFL player is almost completely irrelevant to his fantasy value.
Although he looked like he shouldn’t even be allowed on a professional football field at times against Miami, the former Florida Gator finished the day with 21 fantasy points—good enough for fifth-best among quarterbacks in Week 7.
You see, in the fantasy world, we don’t care how Mr. Tebow, or any other player for that matter, gets his fantasy numbers. All we care about is that he does it… And though he hasn’t been in the league for long enough that we can guarantee that he will be an All-Pro level player at any point in his career, he has already broken out as a fantasy superstar.


Running Quarterbacks Enhanced in Fantasy Football

It wasn’t long ago when being a “running” quarterback was looked at as a negative. Players like Michael Vick and Vince Young were wildly inconsistent fantasy options who were capable of going off for big games, but would also throw up all over your team by checking in with absolutely terrible games as well. It was a crap-shoot that completely wrecked fantasy teams every year. The swings were so bad that many fantasy owners swore off ever falling into the trap of having a “running” quarterback again.
In 2010, Mike Vick turned that bias on its head as he finished the season as the top-scoring fantasy quarterback despite missing quite a bit of playing time due to various injuries. Fast-forward to 2011 and rookie quarterback Cam Newton has continued to prove that the running quarterback can still be a fantasy force.
Now that Tim Tebow has joined the party, the lid is about to be blown off the anti-rushing quarterback theory that so many owners have bought into.
In just six quarters of work so far in 2011, Tebow has already given fantasy owners an impressive 37 fantasy points (ESPN standard scoring) even though he has only thrown for 240 yards during that time. Where he makes his money is on the ground, as he has already rushed for 97 yards and a touchdown. He even added a last-second two-point conversion which forced overtime at the end of this past Sunday’s win in Miami.
The beauty of having a quarterback like Tim Tebow is that he doesn’t need to have a monster passing day to make you look like a genius for making him your starting quarterback. He moves the ball so effectively on the ground that his passing stats can be sub-par and he’ll still come up with a solid fantasy day.
He has only started in four games as a professional, but has been an elite fantasy quarterback in every one of them. He’s only averaging a meager 203 passing yards per start, but his rushing average of 65 yards per game turns an quickly 8-point yardage day into a 14-point yardage day.
Better yet, Tebow has already shown that he is not only going to be involved in moving the ball on the ground between the twenties, but he is also primed to be the team’s goal-line back.
Even before he became the team’s full-time starter at the end of 2010, Tebow had already scored three rushing touchdowns in previous games when he was brought in purely as a goal-line back. There might be a new coaching staff this year, but judging by the play-call on the two-point conversion at the end of the game, it’s still the Tim Tebow Show until otherwise noted.
Haters don’t want to believe it, but it’s very realistic that Tebow is going to be a top-10 or even a top-5 fantasy quarterback almost every week from here on out. Just do the math. Even if we temper our expectations by going lower than his weekly average as a starter, Tebow is still a fantasy stud.
If he throws for just 175 yards, runs for just 50 yards and gets a touchdown both through the air and on the ground, he will be checking in with an impressive 22 fantasy points… And that’s a below average game for him! Even if he doesn’t score every week on the ground, a 16-point fantasy day would still make him one of the better fantasy quarterbacks in the league.

Buy Now on Tim Tebow

Somehow Tebow has managed to remain available in nearly 19-percent of ESPN fantasy leagues. If you are in one of these leagues, jump on the bandwagon now and be prepared to ride to the finish line.
In fact, even if Tebow is owned in your league, you should be going out and doing practically everything you can to get your hands on this guy while his value is still relatively low. Chances are good that the person who currently owns Tebow was not relying on him going into the season and already has another viable option at quarterback on his roster.
Get out there and strike while the iron is still only lukewarm on the Broncos quarterback. This will very likely be the lowest point of his fantasy value going forward, so don’t come crying when his owner is asking for an elite player in return next week. So make the trade now! Go!


  1. Lisa October 29, 2011 at 11:57 am -

    Great article Nick. All I heard last Sunday when I walked past my husband watching the Sunday games was Tim Tebow, Tim Tebow, Tim Tebow. Hope you’re doing well.

  2. Nick Caron October 30, 2011 at 3:13 am -

    Thanks Lisa!

  3. Proctor October 30, 2011 at 8:15 am -

    Good article. But can he move the chains? That 45-50% completion rate is awful. That almost derailed him last week.

  4. Rick October 31, 2011 at 3:02 pm -

    Interesting vantage point on the Tebow situation! He will continue to be solid in fantasy leagues (maybe even improve) as his comfortability rises in the pocket. However I hope the fan base is seeing the reality of the situation – they are just not going to win with the way defenses are able to play again him. It’s tough to count a guy out who has accomplished as much as he has, and maybe he’ll figure it out, but the luster with the fans and teammates will wear out soon if he doesn’t. I’m a little biased though, being a big fan of Decker. Their whole young receivers group would probably progress and benefit much more from a true passing qb. (Also, thanks for using my picture in your article!)